Los Angeles Times NFL writer Sam Farmer examines the matchups this week. Lines according to FanDuel Sportsbook (O/U = over/under). Record last week 9-7 (.563); season 163-77 (.679). Using point spreads with the scores Farmer predicted, the record against the spread last week would have been 6-10 (.375); season 126-112-2 (.529). Times Pacific.

CHIEFS (14-1) AT STEELERS (10-5)

Wednesday, 10 a.m.

Line: Chiefs by 2 1/2. O/U: 42 1/2.

Regardless of the stakes, the Chiefs don't want to take their foot off the gas. They want to get some rhythm going with Hollywood Brown. Then again, Steelers are good in games on a big stage.

Pick: Chiefs 24, Steelers 18

RAVENS (10-5) AT TEXANS (9-6)

Wednesday, 1:30 p.m.

Line: Ravens by 4 1/2. O/U: 46 1/2.

The Texans can't fill out their receiving corps, and the Tank Dell injury is really going to hurt them. They probably won't run it well enough, and that heaps the pressure on C.J. Stroud.

Pick: Ravens 28, Texans 21

SEAHAWKS (8-7) AT BEARS (4-11)

Thursday, 5:15 p.m.

Line: Seahawks by 3 1/2. O/U: 43 1/2.

The Seahawks need this to keep pace with the Rams. The Bears have lost nine in a row. Chicago tends to dig a big hole before its offense gets rolling. Should pick up yards on the ground vs. Seattle.

Pick: Seahawks 30, Bears 23

CHARGERS (9-6) AT PATRIOTS (3-12)

Saturday, 10 a.m.

Line: Chargers by 5 1/2. O/U: 43 1/2.

The Patriots will have a good game plan, and Drake Maye will throw it well, but he'll probably wind up with an interception or two. The Chargers are getting better off the edge.

Pick: Chargers 24, Patriots 20

BRONCOS (9-6) AT BENGALS (7-8)

Saturday, 1:30 p.m.

Line: Bengals by 3. O/U: 49 1/2.

Joe Burrow is in the MVP conversation even though his team has a losing record. The Bengals are still in it until the math tells them they aren't. Denver's defense is good but the secondary has dropped off.

Pick: Bengals 28, Broncos 23

CARDINALS (7-8) AT RAMS (9-6)

Saturday, 5:10 p.m.

Line: Rams by 5 1/2. O/U: 48 1/2.

The Rams owe them one after a beat down earlier this season. The Cardinals have been eliminated, and running back James Conner sat out the second half Sunday with a knee injury. Rams keep rolling.

Pick: Rams 28, Cardinals 22

COWBOYS (7-8) AT EAGLES (12-3)

Sunday, 10 a.m.

Line: Eagles by 10 1/2. O/U: 43 1/2.

Cooper Rush is doing a much better job than many people expected. Availability of Jalen Hurts is important but, either way, Saquon Barkley will be able to do damage on the ground.

Pick: Eagles 31, Cowboys 23

JETS (4-11) AT BILLS (12-3)

Sunday, 10 a.m.

Line: Bills by 9 1/2. O/U: 47 1/2.

If the Bills get James Cook going, they can rack up the yards on that Jets defense. Buffalo knows it has to get going before the playoffs. AFC East opponents so it could be close for a while.

Pick: Bills 27, Jets 20

RAIDERS (3-12) AT SAINTS (5-10)

Sunday, 10 a.m.

Line: Saints by 2 1/2. O/U: 39 1/2.

The Saints were on wrong end of the only shutout this season. They can't generate any consistent offense with quarterback Spencer Rattler and that porous line. The Raiders aren't much but can win this.

Pick: Raiders 21, Saints 17

COLTS (7-8) AT GIANTS (2-13)

Sunday, 10 a.m.

Line: Colts by 7 1/2. O/U: 40 1/2.

Somehow, the Colts scored 38 points with Anthony Richardson completing just seven of 11 passes. Weird. Giants aren't terrible against the run, but Jonathan Taylor is a handful.

Pick: Colts 24, Giants 21

TITANS (3-12) AT JAGUARS (3-12)

Sunday, 10 a.m.

Line: Jaguars by 1 1/2. O/U: 40 1/2.

Bad teams might result in an interesting game. The Jaguars are coming off back-to-back losses to the Jets and Raiders. Give it to Tennessee. The defense is due for a bounce-back game.

Pick: Titans 23, Jaguars 20

PANTHERS (4-11) AT BUCCANEERS (8-7)

Sunday, 10 a.m.

Line: Buccaneers by 7 1/2. O/U: 49 1/2.

The Panthers are feeling good. They're coming off a big overtime win over Arizona, and they took the Buccaneers to overtime a few weeks ago. Tampa Bay needs this one more.

Pick: Buccaneers 28, Panthers 23

DOLPHINS (7-8) AT BROWNS (3-12)

Sunday, 1:05 p.m.

Line: Dolphins by 6 1/2. O/U: 40 1/2.

This still matters to the Dolphins. The Browns are done. If Cleveland goes back to Jameis Winston, anything can happen. Miami has won five of seven and will find a way on the road.

Pick: Dolphins 28, Browns 18

PACKERS (11-4) AT VIKINGS (13-2)

Sunday, 1:25 p.m.

Line: Vikings by 1 1/2. O/U: 48 1/2.

Should be a great game. The Vikings have so much going on offensively at the moment and Sam Darnold is redefining himself. Packers need big plays to combat that Minnesota blitz.

Pick: Vikings 28, Packers 24

FALCONS (8-7) AT COMMANDERS (10-5)

Sunday, 5:20 p.m.

Line: Commanders by 4 1/2. O/U: 46 1/2.

The Commanders are going to load up against the run and make Michael Penix beat them. It's going to be hard for that Falcons defense to hang with Jayden Daniels, Terry McLaurin & Co.

Pick: Commanders 27, Falcons 20

LIONS (13-2) AT 49ERS (6-9)

Monday, 5:15 p.m.

Line: Lions by 3 1/2. O/U: 51 1/2.

The 49ers are out of pieces. So many injuries. Their defensive line doesn't look the same, and those Lions blockers will control the line of scrimmage. Jared Goff returns home for a big game.

Pick: Lions 35, 49ers 24

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