Sam Farmer's Week 8 NFL picks

Los Angeles Times NFL writer Sam Farmer examines the matchups this week. Lines according to FanDuel Sportsbook (O/U = over/under). Record last week 10-5 (.667); season 66-41 (.617). Using point spreads with the scores Farmer predicted, the record against the spread last week would have been 10-5 (.667); season 59-47-1 (.557). Times Pacific.

VIKINGS (5-1) AT RAMS (2-4)

Thursday, 5:15.

Line: Vikings by 3. O/U: 48 1/2.

The Rams are playing well on defense and they're getting Cooper Kupp back. What's more, the Vikings are crossing two time zones on a short week. Still, Minnesota has more firepower and should have the edge.

Pick: Vikings 27, Rams 23

EAGLES (4-2) AT BENGALS (3-4)

Sunday, 10 a.m.

Line: Bengals by 2 1/2. O/U: 47 1/2.

Both teams have won three of four. The Bengals are ranked 27th in run defense, and that's a concern with the way Saquon Barkley is moving it on the ground. Figures to be close, but Eagles kick a field goal to win.

Pick: Eagles 23, Bengals 21

RAVENS (5-2) AT BROWNS (1-6)

Sunday, 10 a.m.

Line: Ravens by 9 1/2. O/U: 43 1/2.

Never good to lose your starting quarterback no matter who's behind him, so the Browns are in a tough spot against the swarming Ravens. Baltimore uses a balanced attack to dictate the pace of this matchup.

Pick: Ravens 24, Browns 13

TITANS (1-5) AT LIONS (5-1)

Sunday, 10 a.m.

Line: Lions by 10 1/2. O/U: 45 1/2.

The Titans have scored 17 or fewer in all but one of their games. The Lions are scoring like crazy, making up for the huge loss of Aidan Hutchinson on the defensive front. Detroit wins the games it should win.

Pick: Lions 31, Titans 14

COLTS (4-3) AT TEXANS (5-2)

Sunday, 10 a.m.

Line: Texans by 5 1/2. O/U: 46 1/2.

The Texans lost at Green Bay by two, but C.J. Stroud had a terrible game. He's in line for a bounce-back performance. Figures to be somewhat close between AFC South rivals, after Texans beat Colts in opener by two.

Pick: Texans 27, Colts 21

PACKERS (5-2) AT JAGUARS (2-5)

Sunday, 10 a.m.

Line: Packers by 4 1/2. O/U: 48 1/2.

After a lackluster two quarters, the Jaguars got their aggressions out in the second half against New England. Still, they're not at the consistent level of Green Bay, which has won five of six.

Pick: Packers 28, Jaguars 23

CARDINALS (3-4) AT DOLPHINS (2-4)

Sunday, 10 a.m.

Line: Dolphins by 3. O/U: 46 1/2.

The Dolphins are expecting to get Tua Tagovailoa back, and that could make a big difference after wandering through a quarterback wasteland. With uncertainty looming, I like the Cardinals in a close one.

Pick: Cardinals 24, Dolphins 21

JETS (2-5) AT PATRIOTS (1-6)

Sunday, 10 a.m.

Line: Jets by 7. O/U: 41 1/2.

The Jets had to feel pretty good in Week 3 when they smoked the Patriots, 24-3. Little did Gang Green know, they'd lose their next four games and their head coach. Two pretty bad teams. New England is worse.

Pick: Jets 24, Patriots 14

FALCONS (4-3) AT BUCCANEERS (4-3)

Sunday, 10 a.m.

Line: Falcons by 2 1/2. O/U: 45 1/2.

Atlanta won the first game between these teams in overtime, but everything went wrong for the Buccaneers down the stretch. Tampa Bay evens the score in front of a home crowd.

Pick: Buccaneers 28, Falcons 24

SAINTS (2-5) AT CHARGERS (3-3)

Sunday, 1:05 p.m.

Line: Chargers by 7 1/2. O/U: 39 1/2.

The injured and dispirited Saints have lost five in a row. Spencer Rattler isn't likely to roll into Los Angeles and beat the Chargers, who are slowly starting to gel as a team under Jim Harbaugh.

Pick: Chargers 21, Saints 10

BILLS (5-2) AT SEAHAWKS (4-3)

Sunday, 1:05 p.m.

Line: Bills by 3. O/U: 47 1/2.

The Bills can run it well and Amari Cooper has a chance to transform the passing offense. Josh Allen is doing an excellent job of protecting the ball. The Bills' corners are strong and won't have DK Metcalf to worry about.

Pick: Bills 27, Seahawks 23

CHIEFS (6-0) AT RAIDERS (2-5)

Sunday, 1:25 p.m.

Line: Chiefs by 9 1/2. O/U: 41 1/2.

The Chiefs are banged up at receiver and corner, so that could be a bit of an issue. But the Raiders are a mess at quarterback and couldn't get anything going against the Rams. Kansas City rolls.

Pick: Chiefs 27, Raiders 14

BEARS (4-2) AT COMMANDERS (5-2)

Sunday, 1:25 p.m.

Line: Bears by 1 1/2. O/U: 43 1/2.

Rookies picked No. 1 and 2 square off, assuming Jayden Daniels can bounce back from his rib injury for the Commanders. Could be a lot of scoring in this matchup. Home team gets the edge.

Pick: Commanders 31, Bears 28

PANTHERS (1-6) AT BRONCOS (4-3)

Sunday, 1:25 p.m.

Line: Broncos by 8 1/2. O/U: 43 1/2.

Denver can play defense. The Panthers don't like teams that can play defense. Carolina has been on the wrong end of a lot of blowouts this season. And Denver quarterback Bo Nix can make plays with his feet too.

Pick: Broncos 27, Panthers 13

COWBOYS (3-3) AT 49ERS (3-4)

Sunday, 5:20 p.m.

Line: 49ers by 4 1/2. O/U: 46 1/2.

Two disappointing teams. Maybe Micah Parsons comes back. Maybe Christian McCaffrey comes back. Regardless, San Francisco has the edge at home and should be able to hang on to win.

Pick: 49ers 28, Cowboys 24

GIANTS (2-5) AT STEELERS (5-2)

Monday, 5:15 p.m.

Line: Steelers by 6 1/2. O/U: 36 1/2.

Russell Wilson gave the Steelers a big boost last Sunday, whereas Daniel Jones was benched at the end of a 28-3 loss to Philadelphia. Go with the hot hand and the Steelers in prime time.

Pick: Steelers 24, Giants 14