LAS VEGAS — The Falcons won their first home game Sunday after beating the Saints, 26-24, on Younghoe Koo’s 58-yard field goal with two seconds left.

Atlanta failed to cover as a 2 1/2-point favorite and is 0-3 against the spread at home. But a Caesars Sportsbook gambler is betting big on the Falcons to cover against Tampa Bay on “Thursday Night Football.”

The Caesars bettor in Tennessee wagered $110,000 to win $100,000 on the Falcons -1 1/2 over the Buccaneers. The consensus line is now 2 1/2, with Station Sports at 2.

“We took sharp support on Falcons -1 1/2, currently -2 1/2,” Westgate SuperBook vice president of risk Jeff Sherman said in a text message. “Right now, need Tampa for a small decision.”

The Falcons are -2 1/2 (-105) and Tampa is +2 1/2 (-105) at the SuperBook as part of a season-long reduced juice promotion.

The consensus total is 43 1/2, with the SuperBook and South Point at 44.

The Buccaneers have won and covered three of their four games this season and are on a 9-3 cover streak overall. They’re also on a 9-1 ATS run on the road in the regular season.

Atlanta is on a 2-8 spread slide at home.

The Falcons account for 43% of the bets ATS at BetMGM and 49% of the money wagered. BetMGM analyst John Ewing posted on X that NFL teams getting less than 50% of the bets are 38-22-2 (63%) ATS this season.

At BetMGM, 56% of the bets and 45% of the money is on the over, while 78% of the bets and 60% of the money on the money line is on the Bucs (+110).

The most bet player prop at BetMGM is on Tampa Bay running back Bucky Irving to go over 43 1/2 rushing yards. Ninety-nine percent of the bets are on the over.

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