At this point, Wagner said, some of the undecided is coming from people who haven’t focused on the ballot questions. “We’re pretty far from when people start to focus,” he said. “The challenge is we’re asking questions of people that they haven’t spent much time, if any, thinking about.”

Florida’s threshold for passage is tough. “Even if you get a majority of Floridians, it’s not a majority (to pass), it’s 60%.”

Abortion

Democrats overwhelmingly support adding abortion rights to the Florida Constitution, 68%-11%. Another 21% said they didn’t know how they’d vote.

Among Republicans, don’t know was the top answer, at 41%, with 33% supporting the referendum and 26% opposed.

Among independents, the proposal is supported 46% to 19%, with 35% unsure.

There was no difference in support between men and women.

Men (26%) were far more likely than women (12%) to oppose the referendum.

Among women, 39% said they didn’t know how they’d vote on the referendum, compared to 25% of men who said they didn’t know.

Support was higher, at 55%, among white college-educated voters than among white non-college educated voters, 47%. (The sample size wasn’t large enough to analyze differences between Black and Hispanic voters.)

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