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As college enrollment declines, interest in these majors is growing for the 2024-25 school year

Martha Sandoval, Data Work By Elena Cox on

Published in Slideshow World

George Rudy // Shutterstock 1/3

As college enrollment declines, interest in these majors is growing for the 2024-25 school year

For the past decade, college enrollment has steadily declined; at the same time, students' career aspirations have undergone a dramatic transformation. Long considered the gateway to financial stability, a college degree is no longer viewed as the only—or even the best—path to success.

Freshman enrollment fell 5% this fall compared to last year, according to data released in October 2024 by the National Student Clearinghouse Research Center. This decline particularly concerns working-class adults and rural students, who are already underrepresented in higher education. In a 2023 study, researchers from the University of Massachusetts and the University of Memphis showed that an average of 1 in 10 students in the U.S. live in "education deserts," regions with no colleges or universities or just one community college. Combined with a lack of institutions nearby that match students' credentials, these regions turn into "match deserts," leaving few higher education opportunities to choose from.

Meanwhile, the overall number of young adults pursuing short-term credentials is growing, with enrollment in certificate programs increasing by over 7%.

Additionally, more young people are turning to skilled trades as blue-collar work gains new respectability and appeal. The growing demand for skilled trade workers reflects shifting priorities in the U.S. labor market and challenges traditional assumptions about higher education.

The 2021 Bipartisan Infrastructure Law increased investment in federal public transportation programs while rising real estate redevelopment has created a surge in demand for tradespeople. Industries like construction and manufacturing report significant workforce shortages, with job openings in areas like welding and construction labor reaching record highs. Meanwhile, the rise of automation and artificial intelligence is reshaping demand for traditional white-collar jobs, such as those in tech and computer science, reflected in lower enrollment trends for certain majors.

Moreover, the looming "enrollment cliff" has become a growing challenge for colleges and universities, as Dick Startz—professor of economics at the University of California, Santa Barbara—described in a Brookings Institution article. This drop, largely tied to a decline in birth rates following the 2008 recession, means fewer young adults will reach college age in the coming years. For many institutions, this shrinking pool of prospective students raises serious concerns about the future. In some states, a drastic drop in enrollment may put schools at risk of closure; in others, college programs or funding may be altogether eliminated.

The COVID-19 pandemic further accelerated decreasing enrollment, as online learning gained traction and fewer students opted for traditional, on-campus experiences. To adapt, colleges have been exploring new strategies, like recruiting international students and adult learners, as well as developing flexible, innovative programs—both online and in person. However, many institutions, especially smaller ones, face significant challenges in navigating the shifting landscape of higher education.

Scholarship Institute examined data compiled by the National Student Clearinghouse Research Center to see which undergraduate programs are gaining and waning in popularity. Data represents the change in enrollment in the top 20 majors from fall 2022 to fall 2024.

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